The p-value is a fundamental statistical measure utilized extensively in hypothesis testing. This metric serves as a yardstick to gauge the likelihood of observing an effect that is equal to or greater than the measured metric delta, assuming that the null hypothesis is valid. In simpler terms, the p-value quantifies the probability that the apparent disparity between your test and control groups is the result of mere chance.
When the p-value is less than a predetermined threshold (typically 0.05), it is considered as supporting evidence for the presence of a genuine effect. In essence, this suggests that the dissimilarity you've noted is statistically meaningful and is improbable to have emerged solely due to random variability.
The computation of the p-value is contingent on the number of degrees of freedom inherent in the experiment. In cases where there's an ample sample size, a two-sample z-test is usually employed. However, when dealing with smaller experiments with degrees of freedom below 100, Welch's t-test is more suitable. Regardless of the chosen method, the p-value hinges on the calculation of metric mean and variance derived from both the test and control groups.
In summation, the p-value is an indispensable tool that helps researchers and data analysts ascertain the credibility of their findings, enabling informed decisions based on the statistical significance of observed discrepancies.